Rick Moran points to a report in Moodys, (via CNBC) that doesn’t bode well for Democrats:

The Moody model has been backtested to 1980 and was right each time — except for 2016 when it predicted a narrow Hillary Clinton win (who didn’t?).

The model shows the uphill climb Democrats have regardless of what current polls are saying about the race.


President Donald Trump looks likely to cruise to re-election next year under three different economic models Moody’s Analytics employed to gauge the 2020 race.

Barring anything unusual happening, the president’s Electoral College victory could easily surpass his 2016 win over Democrat Hillary Clinton, which came by a 304-227 count.

Rick responds:

Democrats may be excited about 2020, as most polls have gauged, but if this impeachment nonsense keeps up, Republicans will be angry. All you have to do is look at the 2016 presidential election to see what an angry electorate can do.

Agreed, Rick.

Even as it stands now, the electorate has even more to be angry about, amazing enough, than it did after eight years of Obama.

Cautious optimism seems to be called for on this alone, but there’s another indicator, from Monica Showalter:

Not only does its moderate Democratic governor, John Bel Edwards, face a runoff, as noted here, but the state Senate has taken a supermajority. And a whole bunch of key state offices went squarely to Republicans. Funny how the press isn’t covering this much.

Not if you understand that the mainstream media is a subsidiary of the DNC.