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Wisconsin is Obama’s Coal Mine Canary: Democrats Giving Up on Recalling Walker?

Yeah, pretty much.

Doug at OTB: [1]

The head of the Democratic National Committee doesn’t really seem all that concerned [2] with the outcome of the Wisconsin Recall Elections:

The chairwoman of the Democratic National Committee said Friday that if Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D) doesn’t prevail over Gov. Scott Walker (R) in next month’s Wisconsin recall election, there won’t be any ramifications for Democrats nationally.

“I think, honestly, there aren’t going to be any repercussions,” Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.) said in a broad-ranging interview on C-SPAN’s “Newsmakers.”

“It’s an election that’s based in Wisconsin. It’s an election that I think is important nationally because Scott Walker is an example of how extreme the tea party has been when it comes to the policies that they have pushed the Republicans to adopt,” Wasserman Schultz said. “But I think it’ll be, at the end of the day, a Wisconsin-based election, and like I said, across the rest of the country and including in Wisconsin, President Obama is ahead.”

Given the recent polling, [3] it’s not really a surprise that the DNC would try to down play the repercussions of an unsuccessful recall. In fact, it’s been clear for weeks now that national Democrats aren’t nearly as enthusiastic about this election as they appeared to be during the height of the protests in Madison last year.

Well, of course not. The effort to recall Walker is a complete disaster for them. Their “giving up” is a strategic move designed to minimize the linkage of the lost there and the upcoming national actions. The fact is, Walker has more support than they do.

[4]These are facts, of course, which didn’t come out until just recently. Not in the Lamestream media, anyway. They’ve been trumpeting that Walker was in serious trouble in this recall. Which, of course, is precisely what the left would like you to believe. What we’re seeing here is the Democrats trying to make their own reality, and being unsuccessful at it, and  now they’re having to adjust for the reality that they can’t override.  Essentially, what we see today is the Democrat Party trying to cut their losses.

Remember; Wisconsin is a state that carried four Obama buying something like fourteen points in 2008. Yet, between the upcoming failure at recalling Walker, and recent polling suggesting that Obama and Romney are tied at 46% each, the discussion is slowly showing up that Wisconsin is now a swing state.

I suspect this is the coal mine canary for the Obama team. And, for that matter, liberals in general.

It also suggests that the unions, invariably leftist, big government-pushing groups,  have lost their pull.  While it is true that the GOP has been spending a fair amount of money in the state, and the Democrats not so much, that lack of Democrat Party money has been more than made up for by the unions, who particularly feel threatened by Walker.  In the past it has been quite true that absent the union support, Democrats would have lost the state.  This is particularly true in the case of the 2008 election.

Clearly, however, the unions do not now have the popular support needed to get their agenda and their candidates approved, if we can take the upcoming Walker victory as any indication.

And let’s take this a step farther and look ahead to the November general election;

Remember that the plurality of liberals in that state has never been overly large.

As an example, Bush only lost to Al Gore, by about 5700 votes.  (Given the voter fraud we saw in that state, those numbers are still little bit questionable even at that level )

Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter both succeeded in carrying Wisconsin in their days, by abandoning liberal orthodoxy at least within the state.  Obama , meanwhile, has utterly failed to do that, instead doubling down on his socialist dogma in the face of the failures of his socialist policies.  The difference in approach between them is rather striking. So, too, is the difference between the Democrat party dogma and the perception of reality in Wisconsin these days.

Assuming this anti -leftist, and anti-union momentum doesn’t shift again, (and these things take invariably longer than six months to accomplish ) it’s not hard to see which direction Wisconsin will be going come November.