James Joyner at OTB mentions the current reading at Electoral-vote.com  and says:
If the election were held today, Barack Obama would cruise to victory with 317 Electoral Votes to John McCain’s 194, according to projections tabulated by Electoral-Vote.com . Florida, with its 27 electors, is too close to call. Again.
Then again, on this day in 2004 , John Kerry was leading President Bush 285 to 249 and had slight leads in both Florida and Ohio. As you may recall, it didn’t turn out that way.