John Zogby of Zogby International, who has been working awfully hard way to lose credibility of late, [1]has decided to inform us of the most recent poll he’s run, which suggests that over half of America would not vote for Hillary Clinton. [2]
The report says:
The online survey of 9,718 likely voters nationwide showed that 50% said Clinton would never get their presidential vote. This is up from 46% who said they could never vote for Clinton in a Zogby International telephone survey conducted in early March. Older voters are most resistant to Clinton – 59% of those age 65 and older said they would never vote for the New York senator, but she is much more acceptable to younger voters: 42% of those age 18-29 said they would never vote for Clinton for President.
[3](Shrug)
While mildly interesting, I have to say that this shouldn’t come as a surprise to anybody. We already knew she’d already teed off at least half the country, with the remaining 50% working realy hard to like her, and not doing it very well at it. This would also be very consistent with the elections of the last several cycles.
Here’s what I mean by that…. and here’s the take -away… The last several cycles have come down to as close to a 50/50 vote as no matter… every single time…
There’s this, too; The Democrats haven’t won the White House with over 50% of the vote, since lBJ…. and that instance only qualifies by a tenth of a point. You have to go back to FDR to find the last time the Democrats won the White House with a real majority. Are you getting the trend, here, yet?
So why should Hillary Clinton not getting 50% of the vote cause problems, of itself? Granted, it makes the sales job harder, but she knew that going in, if she’s got anything at all on the ball… That statistic has been true since 1965, for pity’s sake, and the trend goes back to the 1930’s.
You’d think Zogby would have at least mentioned the historical context, here, because it puts this poll in a very different perspective.
BBCT: Memeorandum [4]